Forex Trading Strategies : DMI and Psar

Directional Movement Index and Parabolic SAR
DMI and Parabolic SAR are very efficient trend indicators and are used often by traders for developing of their strategies. These indicators could be used separately and in combination with other technical studies. The DMI system is plotted by three lines: ADX, +DI and -DI, and could be used for generating of signals or trend filter:

Rising ADX shows that the market has a clear direction and is in a trending mode;

Declining ADX shows that the trend is losing steam or the market is in consolidation phase;
When ADX is above 20-25, the market is in a clear trend.

DMI system generates the following signals:
Rules for long position

1. ADX is above 25 and rising;

2. The Parabolic SAR goes form below to above the chart of the price. The bar when this happens is marked as Signal bar.

3. Long position is initiated when the price breaks 2-3 pips above the high of the Signal bar.

4. After the position is open an initial stop loss order is placed 2-3 pips below the low of the signal bar.

5. A limit order is placed according our Money management rules.
Rules for short position

1. ADX is above 25 and rising;

2. The Parabolic SAR goes form above to below the chart of the price. The bar when this happens is marked as Signal bar..

3. Short position is initiated when the price breaks 2-3 pips below the low of the Signal bar.

4. After the position is open an initial stop loss order is placed 2-3 pips above the high signal bar.

5. A limit order is placed according to our Money management rules.

Indicator chart



----- by ; Svetlin Minev / M.Popov ------

Forex ; Elder-rays

Elder-ray system, Developed in 1989, The Elder-rays use exponential moving average indicator, or EMA, the preferable period of which is 13 as a tracing indicator. The oscillators reflect the bears' and bulls' power.

The Elder-rays include the characteristics of trend following indicators and oscillators. Three charts for placing the Elder-rays are used: on one side - the price chart and EMA are placed, on two other sides - bulls' power oscillator, or just Bulls Power, and bears' power oscillator, or just Bears Power.

Elder-rays can be used either individually or in bunch with various other tools. While using them individually, it's important to remember that the EMA slope defines the trend movement, and position should be opened in its direction.
The Elder Ray is a very precise and effective means of highlighting discrepancies between bull and bear power and prices and helping to choose right time for the best trading opportunities.

Bulls and bears power oscillators are used for determining the moment for opening or closing of positions. One should open the following positions:

It's better to sell when:
1. The Bulls Power oscillator remains positive, but declines step by step;
2. The Bulls Power oscillator declines leaving the Bears' discrepancy;
3. The last bottom of the Bulls Power oscillator is lower than the previous one;
4. There is a decreasing trend defined with the EMA fluctuations

The Elder Ray index actually consists of two indicators:
"Bull Power" (Daily High - n period moving average) and
"Bear Power" (Daily Low - n period moving average).

It's better to purchase when:
1. The Bears Power oscillator is negative, but still growing;
2. The Bears Power oscillator increases after the Bulls discrepancy;
3. The last peak of the Bulls Power oscillator is higher than the previous one;
4. There is an increasing trend defined with the EMA fluctuations



It is better to keep back at the positive values of the Bears Power oscillator and not to open short positions when the Bulls Power oscillator is negative. The best time for trading is discrepancy between the Bulls and Bears Power and prices.
In fact, the Elder Ray index includes 2 indicators: "Bear Power" (Daily Low - n period moving average) and "Bull Power" (Daily High - n period moving average)/

Bear Power is used to calculate the potential for the price to fall under the moving average. And Bull Power is used for calculating the potential for the price to grow over the moving average. There are short positions when the Bull Power is more than zero and there is a bearish discrepancy. And Long positions are assumed when the Bear Power remains under zero and there is a bullish discrepancy.

Forex - RSI and Divergence

Technical indicators are constructed by manipulating some aspect of price such as a moving average of prices over a 10 day period. The Relative Strength Indicator (RSI) tries to anticipate a change in the trend.

This is a leading indicator of a trend change. The results are used to deliver messages about the strength of the market. It is called an oscillator because the indicator readings are converted into percentage results which range from 0% to 100%. The position of each day’s indicator reading gives the trader an indication of the strength, or weakness, of the existing price trend.

The RSI is calculated by monitoring changes in the closing prices of the stock. The number of higher closes is compared to the number of lower closes for the selected period.


The RSI compares the internal strength of a stock by looking at the average of the upwards price changes and comparing it with the average of the downward price changes.

The results are expressed as a percentage, providing the upper and lower boundaries. The plotted results oscillate between these two levels and give traders information about the speed and acceleration of the changes.

Traders use either a 14, 9, or 7 day period in the Relative Strength Calculation.
In this sense the RSI is very similar to a stochastic and uses similar principles. Where the stochastic quantifies the ability of the market to close near the high or the low of the day, the RSI quantifies the strength of the way the market moves higher, or lower. The over-bought and over-sold signals are the same as any oscillator, although with an RSI they are traditionally set at 70% and 30%.
The most significant trading signal delivered by any oscillator style indicator is a divergence signal. This sounds complicated but it just means that the significant valley patterns shown by the RSI trend in the opposite direction to the significant valley patterns as shown by the price line chart. A valley is created by two distinct lows that each precede a rally from a downtrend. This builds a valley in the price chart. The lows of these valleys are joined with a short trend line as shown.
The corresponding lows on the RSI indicator are also joined by a short trend line. When the RSI line slopes differently from the price chart line, a divergence occurs. When these valleys form below the 30% area on the RSI, or form peaks above the 70% level, they are most reliable. Oscillator activity between these levels is not used to find divergence signals.
signal does not occur every time a trend changes, but when it does, it delivers a strong confirmation signal that a trend break is likely.
RSI divergence signals often appear in advance of a trend change, but they are not very good at suggesting the time of a trend change. The divergence signal may appear just as the trend changes, as in the chart extract, or several weeks before. Traders use the RSI divergence as an early warning signal to enable them to prepare for a trend change.
When the RSI and price chart lines move in the same way we get a confirming signal that the existing price trend is unlikely to change. These signals are not very important because we can get the same information from just looking at the chart.
The RSI is one of the very few oscillator style indicators where trend lines and support and resistance lines can be effectively used. These are used as signals to confirm the trend shown on the price chart. When other chart patterns suggest action, then the RSI trend line might also confirm this. When the RSI is used like this it does not give the trader any distinct advantage.

signal does not occur every time a trend changes, but when it does, it delivers a strong confirmation signal that a trend break is likely.
RSI divergence signals often appear in advance of a trend change, but they are not very good at suggesting the time of a trend change. The divergence signal may appear just as the trend changes, as in the chart extract, or several weeks before. Traders use the RSI divergence as an early warning signal to enable them to prepare for a trend change.
When the RSI and price chart lines move in the same way we get a confirming signal that the existing price trend is unlikely to change. These signals are not very important because we can get the same information from just looking at the chart.
The RSI is one of the very few oscillator style indicators where trend lines and support and resistance lines can be effectively used. These are used as signals to confirm the trend shown on the price chart. When other chart patterns suggest action, then the RSI trend line might also confirm this. When the RSI is used like this it does not give the trader any distinct advantage.

Forex Schaff Scalping Strategy

here is just another new Scalping method which I've tested for quite a long time and now I feel confident to share it with everyone around.

However, please note that although the Logic is same but this particular Indicator behaves bit differently when I use it on MT4 or AlTrade Platform compared to the ProRealTime platform that I use with my CFD Broker. IMHO, I've found the ProRealTime much more reliable than the way it works on MT4.

Here goes my Scalping method:

Timeframe: 5, 10, 15 Minutes
Pairs: Any pair will do however Cable (GBPUDS, GBPJPY) is my favorite for Scalping

Go Long When:
1. Schaff Trend Cycle has been rising
2. Schaff Trend >= 25
3. MACD is in uptrend
4. Parabolic is in Uptrend

Go Short When:
1. Schaff Trend Cycle has been declining
2. Schaff Trend <= 75 3. MACD is in downtrend 4. Parabolic is in downtrend Exit When:
Really depends on the MACD Pattern, sometimes you may want to Exit when the MACD line separates itself from the Histogram while sometimes you need to Exit when the Schaff has reached to 75 level (if you're on Long Trade). Based on my experience, it also depends on how quickly the Schaff Trend has moved from one extreme to another.

Advantage:
Basically, it filters out the False MACD signals, such as the one shown in Chart. The key is to avoid the MACD signals which are not confirmed by the Schaff Trend Cycle.

Tips:
1. Also try to use it on larger timeframes, you'll find it quite useful especially on 4H timeframe
2. Try it in combination with ADX
3. If you're not using this system for Scalping but for the longer term Entries than you might want to keep yourself in trade until the Schaff Trend hasn't changed its color (sorry only available in ProRealTime) or moved to the other side (25 to 75 or from 75 to 25)

Caution:
1. Only use this system during the active trading hours (European Session is my favorite)
2. Its not necessary that the Schaff Trend will always move between 25 and 75 levels, sometimes this might change its direction well before reaching its destination. If that happens, you must exit your trade immediately.

Once again, good luck with your trades and keep making pips
Here is another example of Scalping with Schaff Trend ...

Note that I've used 10 and 90 as the Trend Changing readings for Schaff. Also note that DMI (along with ADX) can also be used as an additional confirmation.


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